Title :
Chaos identification and prediction of pressure time series in water supply network
Author :
Yang Jie ; Xu Zhe ; Kong Yaguang
Author_Institution :
Inst. of Inf. & Control, Hangzhou Dianzi Univ., Hangzhou, China
Abstract :
This paper focus on the chaos identification and prediction of the pressure time series in water supply network. Firstly, due to the water pressure data collected from the SCADA contains a lot of noise and some mutation, the wavelet transform method is introduced, and it effectively distinguished the pressure mutation parts from noise. Secondly, based on chaotic identification theory, the Rosenstein method was applied to calculate the maximum Lyapunov exponent and the chaos was verified in the pressure time series. Thirdly, for the complexity of the pressure sequence, the embedded space technology combined with neural network modeling method is proposed to predict the pressure time series. Finally, a practical example shows that the prediction method has a good stability and accuracy.
Keywords :
Lyapunov methods; chaos; neural nets; time series; water supply; wavelet transforms; Rosenstein method; SCADA; chaos identification; chaos prediction; embedded space technology; maximum Lyapunov exponent; neural network modeling method; pressure sequence complexity; pressure time series; water supply network; wavelet transform method; Chaos; Educational institutions; Electronic mail; Manganese; Neural networks; Noise; Time series analysis; Chaos; Lyapunov exponent; Neural Network; pressure prediction; water supply network;
Conference_Titel :
Control Conference (CCC), 2014 33rd Chinese
Conference_Location :
Nanjing
DOI :
10.1109/ChiCC.2014.6896070