Title :
Financial forecasting using random subspace classifier
Author :
Zhora, Dmitry V.
Author_Institution :
Inst. of Software Syst., Kiev, Ukraine
Abstract :
Random subspace classifier is used for prediction of a stock price return. While obtaining interesting results with a basic model it´s possible to construct more competitive network by using several approaches for improving the prediction accuracy and performance characteristics. The following methods are considered in this work: normalizing input data, generating a sensitive classifier structure and variance structure selection. The best average success rate achieved in the prediction of the stock price change direction is 58.1%.
Keywords :
forecasting theory; perceptrons; stock markets; financial forecasting; random subspace classifier; stock price return; variance structure selection; Fires; Hamming distance; Multi-layer neural network; Multidimensional systems; Multilayer perceptrons; Neural networks; Neurons; Predictive models; Radial basis function networks; Software systems;
Conference_Titel :
Neural Networks, 2004. Proceedings. 2004 IEEE International Joint Conference on
Print_ISBN :
0-7803-8359-1
DOI :
10.1109/IJCNN.2004.1381085