A Study on the Model of Early-Warning on the Risk of ETI Based on the Principle of Failure Science

Failure science is the new branch of management science. Failure science starts from revealing hidden disharmony factors in matters, studies the path and the source of risk that lead to failure, and provides methods to avoid failure according to the warning sign of failure. In this article, the author applies reverse thinking of principle of failure science to achieve the goal of making technological innovation lessons from the failure knowledge and builds up the model of early warning to the risk of ETI (enterprise technological innovation). It can express the rule of failure, path, process, the major risk factors, control conditions of ETI clearly and logically, and fully reflect the logical relations between various factors and events. By this way, it can be taken for reference for formulating scientific and rational technological innovation strategy and achieve an effective early warning of the risk.