DocumentCode
2334019
Title
Time series prediction based on ensemble ANFIS
Author
Chen, De-Wang ; Zhang, Jun-Ping
Author_Institution
Jiao Tong Univ., Beijing, China
Volume
6
fYear
2005
fDate
18-21 Aug. 2005
Firstpage
3552
Abstract
In this paper, random and bootstrap sampling method and ANFIS (adaptive network based fuzzy inference system) are integrated into En-ANFIS (an ensemble ANFIS) to predict chaotic and traffic flow time series. The prediction results of En-ANFIS are compared with an ANFIS using all training data and each ANFIS unit in En-ANFIS. Experimental results show that the prediction accuracy of the En-ANFIS is higher than that of single ANFIS unit, while the number of training sample and training time of the En-ANFIS are less than that of the ANFIS using all training data. So, En-ANFIS is an effective method to achieve both high accuracy and less computational complexity for time series prediction.
Keywords
inference mechanisms; learning (artificial intelligence); sampling methods; time series; traffic engineering computing; adaptive network; bootstrap sampling; chaotic time series; ensemble ANFIS; fuzzy inference system; random sampling; traffic flow time series prediction; training data; Chaos; Fuzzy neural networks; Fuzzy systems; Kalman filters; Linear regression; Machine learning; Neural networks; Prediction algorithms; Telecommunication traffic; Training data; ANFIS; Time series prediction; bootstrap; ensemble learning; traffic flow;
fLanguage
English
Publisher
ieee
Conference_Titel
Machine Learning and Cybernetics, 2005. Proceedings of 2005 International Conference on
Conference_Location
Guangzhou, China
Print_ISBN
0-7803-9091-1
Type
conf
DOI
10.1109/ICMLC.2005.1527557
Filename
1527557
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