• DocumentCode
    2334019
  • Title

    Time series prediction based on ensemble ANFIS

  • Author

    Chen, De-Wang ; Zhang, Jun-Ping

  • Author_Institution
    Jiao Tong Univ., Beijing, China
  • Volume
    6
  • fYear
    2005
  • fDate
    18-21 Aug. 2005
  • Firstpage
    3552
  • Abstract
    In this paper, random and bootstrap sampling method and ANFIS (adaptive network based fuzzy inference system) are integrated into En-ANFIS (an ensemble ANFIS) to predict chaotic and traffic flow time series. The prediction results of En-ANFIS are compared with an ANFIS using all training data and each ANFIS unit in En-ANFIS. Experimental results show that the prediction accuracy of the En-ANFIS is higher than that of single ANFIS unit, while the number of training sample and training time of the En-ANFIS are less than that of the ANFIS using all training data. So, En-ANFIS is an effective method to achieve both high accuracy and less computational complexity for time series prediction.
  • Keywords
    inference mechanisms; learning (artificial intelligence); sampling methods; time series; traffic engineering computing; adaptive network; bootstrap sampling; chaotic time series; ensemble ANFIS; fuzzy inference system; random sampling; traffic flow time series prediction; training data; Chaos; Fuzzy neural networks; Fuzzy systems; Kalman filters; Linear regression; Machine learning; Neural networks; Prediction algorithms; Telecommunication traffic; Training data; ANFIS; Time series prediction; bootstrap; ensemble learning; traffic flow;
  • fLanguage
    English
  • Publisher
    ieee
  • Conference_Titel
    Machine Learning and Cybernetics, 2005. Proceedings of 2005 International Conference on
  • Conference_Location
    Guangzhou, China
  • Print_ISBN
    0-7803-9091-1
  • Type

    conf

  • DOI
    10.1109/ICMLC.2005.1527557
  • Filename
    1527557