Title :
Time series prediction based on ensemble ANFIS
Author :
Chen, De-Wang ; Zhang, Jun-Ping
Author_Institution :
Jiao Tong Univ., Beijing, China
Abstract :
In this paper, random and bootstrap sampling method and ANFIS (adaptive network based fuzzy inference system) are integrated into En-ANFIS (an ensemble ANFIS) to predict chaotic and traffic flow time series. The prediction results of En-ANFIS are compared with an ANFIS using all training data and each ANFIS unit in En-ANFIS. Experimental results show that the prediction accuracy of the En-ANFIS is higher than that of single ANFIS unit, while the number of training sample and training time of the En-ANFIS are less than that of the ANFIS using all training data. So, En-ANFIS is an effective method to achieve both high accuracy and less computational complexity for time series prediction.
Keywords :
inference mechanisms; learning (artificial intelligence); sampling methods; time series; traffic engineering computing; adaptive network; bootstrap sampling; chaotic time series; ensemble ANFIS; fuzzy inference system; random sampling; traffic flow time series prediction; training data; Chaos; Fuzzy neural networks; Fuzzy systems; Kalman filters; Linear regression; Machine learning; Neural networks; Prediction algorithms; Telecommunication traffic; Training data; ANFIS; Time series prediction; bootstrap; ensemble learning; traffic flow;
Conference_Titel :
Machine Learning and Cybernetics, 2005. Proceedings of 2005 International Conference on
Conference_Location :
Guangzhou, China
Print_ISBN :
0-7803-9091-1
DOI :
10.1109/ICMLC.2005.1527557