Title :
The output forecast research of the wind farm based on GM-weibull wind speed distribution combined model
Author :
Zhu He ; Xu Jianyuan ; Wang Xiaoyu
Author_Institution :
Northeast Electr. Power Univ., Jilin, China
Abstract :
The grey theory is employed to establish the grey prediction-wind speed Weibull distribution model and calculate the Weibull distribution parameters according to the randomness and intermittence of the wind power output. The wind speed distribution of the wind farm and the effective wind power density are predicted accurately, the wind power and the electric fan efforts in generating capacity and other important data can be obtained according to the actual terrain wind farm wind speed data.
Keywords :
Weibull distribution; grey systems; wind power plants; GM-Weibull wind speed distribution combined model; electric fan; grey prediction theory; wind farm; Power generation; Power system stability; Predictive models; Weibull distribution; Wind energy; Wind energy generation; Wind farms; Wind forecasting; Wind power generation; Wind speed; GM-Weibull wind speed distribution model; output forecast; wind farm;
Conference_Titel :
Industrial Electronics and Applications, 2009. ICIEA 2009. 4th IEEE Conference on
Conference_Location :
Xi´an
Print_ISBN :
978-1-4244-2799-4
Electronic_ISBN :
978-1-4244-2800-7
DOI :
10.1109/ICIEA.2009.5138574