Title :
Time series forecasting with RBF neural network
Author :
Yan, Xiang-Bin ; Wang, Zhen ; Yu, Shu-Hua ; Li, Yi-Jun
Author_Institution :
Sch. of Manage., Harbin Inst. of Technol., China
Abstract :
Radial basis function neural network (RBF NN) has been widely used for nonlinear system identification because of its simple topological structure and its ability to reveal how learning proceeds in an explicit manner. In this paper, descriptions and original applications of RBF NN, to the time series forecasting problem is presented. Genetic algorithm technique is proposed to improve the RBF center placement quality. The research contributes to the applications of RBF NN by experiments with real-world data sets. Experimental results reveal that the prediction performance of RBF NN is significantly better than a traditional BP NN model.
Keywords :
forecasting theory; genetic algorithms; nonlinear systems; radial basis function networks; time series; genetic algorithm; nonlinear system identification; radial basis function neural network; real-world data sets; time series forecasting problem; Cybernetics; Electronic mail; Genetic algorithms; Machine learning; Neural networks; Nonlinear systems; Predictive models; Radial basis function networks; Statistics; Technology management; Genetic algorithm; RBF NN; Time series;
Conference_Titel :
Machine Learning and Cybernetics, 2005. Proceedings of 2005 International Conference on
Conference_Location :
Guangzhou, China
Print_ISBN :
0-7803-9091-1
DOI :
10.1109/ICMLC.2005.1527764