DocumentCode :
2344107
Title :
Simulation of the dynamic model of energy consumption structure in different periods in China
Author :
Haining, Wang ; Huifeng, Xue
Author_Institution :
Coll. of Autom., Northwestern Polytech. Univ., Xi´´an
fYear :
2008
fDate :
24-27 Nov. 2008
Firstpage :
669
Lastpage :
673
Abstract :
This paper sets up a dynamic model of energy consumption structure in China and selects two different groups of data to simulate and forecast the trend of the energy consumption structure. The forecast result is that the consumption rate of coal will decrease, while the rates of electricity, natural gas and petroleum will increase. Because the two groups of data are from different periods, there is a little discrepancy between the two forecast results. By comparing and analyzing the restriction and impetus of energy consumption of different periods in China, this paper explores the effective pattern of the development of energy in the future. Therefore, itpsilas necessary for our state to take some measures, such as to regulate the industrial structure, to raise the level of science and technology, innovating system and mechanism to change the existing structure of energy consumption, finally, to achieve the sustainable development of Chinapsilas energy consumption.
Keywords :
coal; natural gas technology; petroleum; power consumption; power system simulation; China; coal; dynamic model; electricity rates; energy consumption structure; natural gas; petroleum; Economic forecasting; Energy consumption; Energy resolution; Environmental economics; Fuel economy; Load forecasting; Power generation economics; Predictive models; Supply and demand; Systems engineering and theory;
fLanguage :
English
Publisher :
ieee
Conference_Titel :
Sustainable Energy Technologies, 2008. ICSET 2008. IEEE International Conference on
Conference_Location :
Singapore
Print_ISBN :
978-1-4244-1887-9
Electronic_ISBN :
978-1-4244-1888-6
Type :
conf
DOI :
10.1109/ICSET.2008.4747091
Filename :
4747091
Link To Document :
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