• DocumentCode
    2364339
  • Title

    When uncertainty is irrelevant to expected utility decision making

  • Author

    Bier, Vicki M.

  • Author_Institution
    Wisconsin Univ., Madison, WI, USA
  • fYear
    1993
  • fDate
    25-28 Apr 1993
  • Firstpage
    401
  • Lastpage
    407
  • Abstract
    The author discusses the expected value of including uncertainty in decision making, and also normative bases of ambiguity aversion. It is shown that there are broad classes of utility functions for which uncertainty is irrelevant under expected utility theory, and only mean values are significant. Conversely, there are broad classes of utility functions for which preferences over ambiguity are normatively valid. Finally, preferences over ambiguity, even if valid, are not always relevant to decision making; decision makers may have lower expected utility when a probability is ambiguous than when it is certain, but have the same set of optimal decisions in either case
  • Keywords
    decision theory; uncertainty handling; ambiguity aversion; decision making; normative bases; optimal decisions; uncertainty; utility functions; utility theory; Decision making; Probability distribution; Random variables; Uncertainty; Utility theory;
  • fLanguage
    English
  • Publisher
    ieee
  • Conference_Titel
    Uncertainty Modeling and Analysis, 1993. Proceedings., Second International Symposium on
  • Conference_Location
    College Park, MD
  • Print_ISBN
    0-8186-3850-8
  • Type

    conf

  • DOI
    10.1109/ISUMA.1993.366738
  • Filename
    366738