On the inevitability of probability for expert systems: An analysis based on social theory of knowledge

Author

Venkatesan, S.

Author_Institution

Ind. Manage. Group, Indian Inst. of Technol., Bombay, India

fYear

1993

fDate

25-28 Apr 1993

Firstpage

356

Lastpage

364

Abstract

The author deals with the thesis of V. Lindley on the inevitability of the probability approach to the treatment of uncertainty in AI and expert systems. The specific arguments given by Lindley for such a stand are analyzed in the light of a social theory of knowledge, a view of knowledge proposed by David Bloor based on Wittgenstein´s later philosophical works. By doing a philosophical analysis of Lindley´s stand on this issue, a case is made for a sound philosophical basis of fuzzy logic. The constructive direction evolved through the philosophical analysis is the need for an effective representation of the family of probability concepts in decision support systems. In this context, a design framework for such a representation has been proposed using a logic programming language

Keywords

expert systems; fuzzy logic; philosophical aspects; probability; uncertainty handling; decision support systems; expert systems; fuzzy logic; logic programming language; philosophical analysis; probability approach; social theory; uncertainty; Artificial intelligence; Bayesian methods; Decision support systems; Expert systems; Fuzzy logic; Knowledge management; Logic programming; Probabilistic logic; Technology management; Uncertainty;

fLanguage

English

Publisher

ieee

Conference_Titel

Uncertainty Modeling and Analysis, 1993. Proceedings., Second International Symposium on

Conference_Location

College Park, MD

Print_ISBN

0-8186-3850-8

Type

conf

DOI

10.1109/ISUMA.1993.366744

Filename

366744