Title :
Towards an efficient regression model for solar energy prediction
Author :
Prakash, Aravind ; Singh, S.K.
Author_Institution :
Dept. Of Comput. Sci. & IT, Jaypee Inst. of Inf. Technol., Noida, India
Abstract :
This paper describes a model for forecasting the daily solar energy. The features used in this model include precipitation, flux (long-wave, short wave), air pressure, humidity, cloud cover, temperature, radiation (long-wave and shortwave). These features along with previous data for daily solar energy received for the years 1994-2007 has been used for forecasting. The data for the features comes from a grid of sites in the United States and the data for previous years´ daily solar energy comes from 98 sites in Oklahoma, United States. Two algorithms have been used for forecasting - Linear Least Square Regression and Gradient Boosting Regression. Gradient Boosting Regression has shown to be around 2.5% more accurate as compared to Linear Least Square Regression.
Keywords :
atmospheric precipitation; gradient methods; humidity; least squares approximations; power grids; regression analysis; solar power; Oklahoma; United State; air pressure; gradient boosting regression; humidity; linear least square regression; power grid; precipitation; solar energy forecasting; solar energy prediction; Atmospheric modeling; Boosting; Computational intelligence; Computational modeling; Meteorology; Predictive models; Solar energy; Computational Intelligence; Prediction; Regression model; Solar Energy;
Conference_Titel :
Computational Intelligence on Power, Energy and Controls with their impact on Humanity (CIPECH), 2014 Innovative Applications of
Conference_Location :
Ghaziabad
DOI :
10.1109/CIPECH.2014.7019040