DocumentCode
2382839
Title
Improving forecast accuracy by granular computing method
Author
Chang, F. Michael
Author_Institution
Dept. of Inf. Manage., Nat. Taitung Coll., Taitung, Taiwan
fYear
2011
fDate
9-12 Oct. 2011
Firstpage
2338
Lastpage
2343
Abstract
In a Decision Support System (DSS), data are used to make decision. When data are large, the accuracy of prediction is high. However, in many cases, data on hand is not enough but the decision has to be made. It causes a small data set learning problem. The way to solve this kind of problem is to improve forecast accuracy by current data. Adding some approximate data for granular computing can improve the forecast accuracy. In this article, Mega-fuzzification method that is based on Neuro-fuzzy method is first applied to add artificial data to improve learning accuracy. Considering the data bias phenomenon that often occurs in small data sets, this study provides a method that is based on the computational learning and probably approximately correct (PAC) theories for its adjustment as well as determines the assessment of the data domain. In addition, rough set method is used to help for Mega-fuzzification method to solve the problem of large number of attribute may affect the learning efficiency of Mega-fuzzification learning.
Keywords
approximation theory; decision support systems; fuzzy reasoning; granular computing; learning (artificial intelligence); PAC theory; data approximation; decision making; decision support system; forecast accuracy; granular computing method; mega fuzzification learning; neurofuzzy method; probably approximately correct; Accuracy; Approximation methods; Equations; Fuzzy neural networks; Learning systems; Machine learning; Mathematical model;
fLanguage
English
Publisher
ieee
Conference_Titel
Systems, Man, and Cybernetics (SMC), 2011 IEEE International Conference on
Conference_Location
Anchorage, AK
ISSN
1062-922X
Print_ISBN
978-1-4577-0652-3
Type
conf
DOI
10.1109/ICSMC.2011.6084027
Filename
6084027
Link To Document