• DocumentCode
    2382839
  • Title

    Improving forecast accuracy by granular computing method

  • Author

    Chang, F. Michael

  • Author_Institution
    Dept. of Inf. Manage., Nat. Taitung Coll., Taitung, Taiwan
  • fYear
    2011
  • fDate
    9-12 Oct. 2011
  • Firstpage
    2338
  • Lastpage
    2343
  • Abstract
    In a Decision Support System (DSS), data are used to make decision. When data are large, the accuracy of prediction is high. However, in many cases, data on hand is not enough but the decision has to be made. It causes a small data set learning problem. The way to solve this kind of problem is to improve forecast accuracy by current data. Adding some approximate data for granular computing can improve the forecast accuracy. In this article, Mega-fuzzification method that is based on Neuro-fuzzy method is first applied to add artificial data to improve learning accuracy. Considering the data bias phenomenon that often occurs in small data sets, this study provides a method that is based on the computational learning and probably approximately correct (PAC) theories for its adjustment as well as determines the assessment of the data domain. In addition, rough set method is used to help for Mega-fuzzification method to solve the problem of large number of attribute may affect the learning efficiency of Mega-fuzzification learning.
  • Keywords
    approximation theory; decision support systems; fuzzy reasoning; granular computing; learning (artificial intelligence); PAC theory; data approximation; decision making; decision support system; forecast accuracy; granular computing method; mega fuzzification learning; neurofuzzy method; probably approximately correct; Accuracy; Approximation methods; Equations; Fuzzy neural networks; Learning systems; Machine learning; Mathematical model;
  • fLanguage
    English
  • Publisher
    ieee
  • Conference_Titel
    Systems, Man, and Cybernetics (SMC), 2011 IEEE International Conference on
  • Conference_Location
    Anchorage, AK
  • ISSN
    1062-922X
  • Print_ISBN
    978-1-4577-0652-3
  • Type

    conf

  • DOI
    10.1109/ICSMC.2011.6084027
  • Filename
    6084027