DocumentCode :
2384751
Title :
Dilation-erosion perceptrons with evolutionary learning for weather forecasting
Author :
de Araujo, Ricardo A. ; Oliveira, Adriano L I ; Soares, Sergio ; Meira, Silvio
Author_Institution :
Inf. Center, Fed. Univ. of Pernambuco, Recife, Brazil
fYear :
2011
fDate :
9-12 Oct. 2011
Firstpage :
3070
Lastpage :
3077
Abstract :
The Dilation-erosion perceptron (DEP) is considered a good forecasting model, whose foundations are based on mathematical morphology (MM) and complete lattice theory (CLT). However, a drawback arises from the gradient estimation of morphological operators into classical gradient-based learning process, since they are not differentiable of usual way. In this sense, this work presents an evolutionary learning process, called DEP(MGA), using a modified genetic algorithm (MGA) to design the DEP model for weather forecasting. In addition, we have included an automatic phase fix procedure (APFP) into the proposed learning process to eliminate time phase distortions observed in some temporal phenomena. At the end, an experimental analysis is presented using two complex time series, where five well-known performance metrics and an evaluation function are used to assess forecasting performance.
Keywords :
genetic algorithms; geophysics computing; lattice theory; learning (artificial intelligence); time series; weather forecasting; automatic phase fix procedure; complete lattice theory; dilation-erosion perceptron; evaluation function; evolutionary learning; forecasting model; gradient-based learning process; mathematical morphology; modified genetic algorithm; performance metrics; time phase distortion; time series; weather forecasting; Forecasting; Indexes; Lattices; Mathematical model; Time series analysis; Vectors; Weather forecasting; Dilation-Erosion Perceptrons; Evolutionary Learning; Genetic Algorithms; Weather Forecasting;
fLanguage :
English
Publisher :
ieee
Conference_Titel :
Systems, Man, and Cybernetics (SMC), 2011 IEEE International Conference on
Conference_Location :
Anchorage, AK
ISSN :
1062-922X
Print_ISBN :
978-1-4577-0652-3
Type :
conf
DOI :
10.1109/ICSMC.2011.6084131
Filename :
6084131
Link To Document :
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