DocumentCode
2384751
Title
Dilation-erosion perceptrons with evolutionary learning for weather forecasting
Author
de Araujo, Ricardo A. ; Oliveira, Adriano L I ; Soares, Sergio ; Meira, Silvio
Author_Institution
Inf. Center, Fed. Univ. of Pernambuco, Recife, Brazil
fYear
2011
fDate
9-12 Oct. 2011
Firstpage
3070
Lastpage
3077
Abstract
The Dilation-erosion perceptron (DEP) is considered a good forecasting model, whose foundations are based on mathematical morphology (MM) and complete lattice theory (CLT). However, a drawback arises from the gradient estimation of morphological operators into classical gradient-based learning process, since they are not differentiable of usual way. In this sense, this work presents an evolutionary learning process, called DEP(MGA), using a modified genetic algorithm (MGA) to design the DEP model for weather forecasting. In addition, we have included an automatic phase fix procedure (APFP) into the proposed learning process to eliminate time phase distortions observed in some temporal phenomena. At the end, an experimental analysis is presented using two complex time series, where five well-known performance metrics and an evaluation function are used to assess forecasting performance.
Keywords
genetic algorithms; geophysics computing; lattice theory; learning (artificial intelligence); time series; weather forecasting; automatic phase fix procedure; complete lattice theory; dilation-erosion perceptron; evaluation function; evolutionary learning; forecasting model; gradient-based learning process; mathematical morphology; modified genetic algorithm; performance metrics; time phase distortion; time series; weather forecasting; Forecasting; Indexes; Lattices; Mathematical model; Time series analysis; Vectors; Weather forecasting; Dilation-Erosion Perceptrons; Evolutionary Learning; Genetic Algorithms; Weather Forecasting;
fLanguage
English
Publisher
ieee
Conference_Titel
Systems, Man, and Cybernetics (SMC), 2011 IEEE International Conference on
Conference_Location
Anchorage, AK
ISSN
1062-922X
Print_ISBN
978-1-4577-0652-3
Type
conf
DOI
10.1109/ICSMC.2011.6084131
Filename
6084131
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