DocumentCode :
2394121
Title :
An intelligent system for discovering mathematical models for financial time series prediction
Author :
Castillo, Oscar ; Melin, Patricia
Author_Institution :
Comput. Sci. Dept., Inst. Tecnologico de Tijuana, Chula Vista, CA, USA
fYear :
1994
fDate :
22-26 Aug 1994
Firstpage :
217
Abstract :
We describe a computer program that can be considered an intelligent system for the domain of financial time series prediction. Given a financial time series for a specific problem, the intelligent system develops mathematical models for the problem based on the geometry of the data, using different statistical methods. The computer program develops the kind of models that are more likely to give a “good” prediction, based on the knowledge of the human experts contained in the knowledge base. The intelligent system then analyzes the mathematical models obtained before to make a selection of the model that will give us the “best” prediction. This selection is done by the intelligent system using a combination of heuristics and calculations that are contained also in the knowledge base. An intelligent system that can learn models from financial data would be very useful in practice in making the job of prediction more easy and less time consuming
Keywords :
expert systems; financial data processing; heuristic programming; learning (artificial intelligence); mathematics computing; time series; calculations; computer program; expert systems; financial data; financial time series prediction; geometry; heuristics; intelligent system; knowledge base; mathematical models; statistical methods; time consuming; Artificial intelligence; Computer science; Economic forecasting; Geometry; Humans; Intelligent systems; Mathematical model; Physics; Predictive models; Statistical analysis;
fLanguage :
English
Publisher :
ieee
Conference_Titel :
TENCON '94. IEEE Region 10's Ninth Annual International Conference. Theme: Frontiers of Computer Technology. Proceedings of 1994
Print_ISBN :
0-7803-1862-5
Type :
conf
DOI :
10.1109/TENCON.1994.369305
Filename :
369305
Link To Document :
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