DocumentCode
2403509
Title
Application of neural networks to the problem of forecasting the flow of the River Nile
Author
Atiya, Amir ; El-Shoura, Suzan ; Shaheen, Samir ; El-Sherif, Mohamed
Author_Institution
Dept. of Electr. Eng., California Inst. of Technol., Pasadena, CA, USA
fYear
1997
fDate
24-26 Sep 1997
Firstpage
598
Lastpage
606
Abstract
This paper applies multilayer neural networks to the problem of forecasting the flow of the River Nile in Egypt. Estimating the flow of the River Nile can have significant economic impact, since it can help in managing scarce irrigation water. The second goal of the paper is utilize the time series as a benchmark to compare between different neural network forecasting methods. We compare between four different methods for input and output preprocessing, including a novel method proposed here based on the discrete Fourier series. We also consider the problem of forecasting several steps ahead. We compare three methods for the multistep ahead prediction problem
Keywords
Fourier series; forecasting theory; geophysics computing; multilayer perceptrons; natural resources; rivers; time series; Egypt; River Nile; discrete Fourier series; economic impact; flow forecasting; irrigation water management; multilayer neural networks; multistep ahead prediction problem; time series; Agricultural engineering; Consumer electronics; Economic forecasting; Fourier series; Irrigation; Load forecasting; Multi-layer neural network; Neural networks; Partial response channels; Rivers;
fLanguage
English
Publisher
ieee
Conference_Titel
Neural Networks for Signal Processing [1997] VII. Proceedings of the 1997 IEEE Workshop
Conference_Location
Amelia Island, FL
ISSN
1089-3555
Print_ISBN
0-7803-4256-9
Type
conf
DOI
10.1109/NNSP.1997.622442
Filename
622442
Link To Document