Medium term conflict detection for free routing: operational concepts and requirements analysis

Author

Warren, Anthony

Author_Institution

Boeing Commercial Aircraft Group, Seattle, WA, USA

Volume

2

fYear

1997

fDate

26-30 Oct 1997

Firstpage

9.3

Abstract

Next generation air traffic management systems will provide automated, early detection of flight path separation conflicts for en-route aircraft. A primary objective of these systems is to provide medium term (10-30 min.) lookahead for early detection and resolution of separation conflicts, and for arrival and departure flow management at busy hub airports. This paper focuses on concepts for conflict probe system implementation and on engineering studies to specify CNS/ATM requirements in a Free Routing environment. Results of conflict probe sensitivity studies using Monte-Carte and covariance analysis are discussed. These studies demonstrate the value of modeling path prediction uncertainty and provide a means of allocating navigation, surveillance, and wind forecasting requirements to achieve desired conflict probe performance

Keywords

Monte Carlo methods; air traffic control; airports; avionics; covariance analysis; parameter estimation; prediction theory; weather forecasting; wind; 10 to 30 min; Monte-Carte and covariance analysis; air traffic management; arrival flow management; busy hub airport; conflict probe; covariance analysis; departure flow management; en-route aircraft; flight path separation conflicts; free routing; medium term conflict detection; navigation; path prediction uncertainty; requirements analysis; surveillance; wind forecasting; Aerospace engineering; Air traffic control; Aircraft propulsion; Airports; Navigation; Predictive models; Probes; Routing; Surveillance; Uncertainty;

fLanguage

English

Publisher

ieee

Conference_Titel

Digital Avionics Systems Conference, 1997. 16th DASC., AIAA/IEEE

Conference_Location

Irvine, CA

Print_ISBN

0-7803-4150-3

Type

conf

DOI

10.1109/DASC.1997.637319

Filename

637319