Notice of RetractionEmpirical Analysis on Determinant Factors for Tianjin´s Export in China Based on Method of Impulse Response Function

Notice of Retraction

After careful and considered review of the content of this paper by a duly constituted expert committee, this paper has been found to be in violation of IEEE´s Publication Principles.

We hereby retract the content of this paper. Reasonable effort should be made to remove all past references to this paper.

The presenting author of this paper has the option to appeal this decision by contacting TPII@ieee.org.

Based on the statistics of Tianjin from 1980 to 2007, this paper analyzes the relationships between Tianjin´s export trade and the four factors such as FDI, FDI stock, trading partners´ GDP and Tianjin´s GDP by cointegration test and Granger causality test. The paper also uses impulse response function and variance decomposition method to measure the dynamic effect of these four factors on Tianjin´s export trade. The results show as follows: the major determinant factors of Tianjin´s export growth are FDI, FDI stock and trading partners´ GDP, and there is a bi-directional causality between Tianjin´s export and its GDP. This paper also finds that there is a substitution relationship between FDI and Tianjin´s export, Tianjin´s export relies more on FDI stock and trading partners´ GDP in the long term.