• DocumentCode
    2439913
  • Title

    Simultaneous prediction of multiple financial time series using supervised learning and chaos theory

  • Author

    Edmonds, Andrew N. ; Burkhardt, Diana ; Adjei, Osei

  • Author_Institution
    Prophecy Syst. Ltd., Olney, UK
  • Volume
    5
  • fYear
    1994
  • fDate
    June 27 1994-July 2 1994
  • Firstpage
    3158
  • Abstract
    "Embedded" time series are often used with neural networks or other supervised learning algorithms to generate predictions. Work in chaos theory has pointed to methods of determining the optimal embedding parameters for individual time series. The hypothesis is explored that these methods also hold when multiple time series are used together to generate a prediction, and that the optima for the individual series combined are the optimum for the group. A novel prediction explanation mechanism is described. Examples will be taken from foreign exchange time series, and the analyses will be performed using The Prophet, a time series prediction program.<>
  • Keywords
    chaos; finance; forecasting theory; learning (artificial intelligence); neural nets; time series; The Prophet; chaos theory; embedded time series; foreign exchange time series; multiple financial time series simultaneous prediction; neural networks; optimal embedding parameters; prediction explanation; supervised learning; supervised learning algorithms; time series prediction program; Ambient intelligence; Chaos; Delta modulation; Mutual information; Nonlinear dynamical systems; Shape; Smoothing methods; Supervised learning; Trajectory;
  • fLanguage
    English
  • Publisher
    ieee
  • Conference_Titel
    Neural Networks, 1994. IEEE World Congress on Computational Intelligence., 1994 IEEE International Conference on
  • Conference_Location
    Orlando, FL, USA
  • Print_ISBN
    0-7803-1901-X
  • Type

    conf

  • DOI
    10.1109/ICNN.1994.374739
  • Filename
    374739