Study, on calculation of probabilistic available transfer capability

Author

Cui, Yali ; Bie, Zhaohong ; Wang, Xifan

Author_Institution

Dept. of Electr. Power Eng., Xi´´an Jiaotong Univ., China

Volume

4

fYear

2002

fDate

2002

Firstpage

2052

Abstract

Based on a probabilistic model, a method to calculate the available transfer capability (ATC) is proposed in this paper. The method combines Monte Carlo simulation with a sensitivity analysis. The power system uncertainties are considered using Monte Carlo simulation and the ATC is calculated quickly through a sensitivity analysis. Besides the expected value of ATC, the probabilistic distribution of ATC is also obtained. Moreover, a new load model is developed to consider the impact of load uncertainties including the system load level and all the bus load fluctuations on the ATC. The results of the IEEE-RTS system show that the proposed method is efficient in the ATC calculation.

Keywords

Monte Carlo methods; load (electric); power systems; power transmission; probability; sensitivity analysis; IEEE-RTS system; Monte Carlo simulation; bus load fluctuations; load model; load uncertainties; power market; power system uncertainties; probabilistic available transfer capability; probabilistic distribution; probabilistic model; sensitivity analysis; Fluctuations; Load modeling; Power industry; Power system analysis computing; Power system modeling; Power system simulation; Sensitivity analysis; Stochastic processes; Stochastic systems; Uncertainty;

fLanguage

English

Publisher

ieee

Conference_Titel

Power System Technology, 2002. Proceedings. PowerCon 2002. International Conference on

Print_ISBN

0-7803-7459-2

Type

conf

DOI

10.1109/ICPST.2002.1047142

Filename

1047142