Title :
A Relative Tendency Based Stock Market Prediction System
Author :
ManChon, U. ; Rasheed, Khaled
Author_Institution :
Dept. of Comput. Sci., Univ. of Georgia, Athens, GA, USA
Abstract :
Researchers have known for some time that non-linearity exists in the financial markets and that neural networks can be used to forecast market returns. In this article, we present a novel stock market prediction system which focuses on forecasting the relative tendency growth between different stocks and indices rather than purely predicting their values. This research utilizes artificial neural network models for estimation. The results are examined for their ability to provide an effective forecast of future values. Certain techniques, such as sliding windows and chaos theory, are employed for data preparation and pre-processing. Our system successfully predicted the relative tendency growth of different stocks with up to 99.01% accuracy.
Keywords :
chaos; neural nets; stock markets; artificial neural network models; chaos theory; data preparation; financial markets; market returns; neural networks; relative tendency; sliding windows; stock market prediction system; tendency growth; Artificial neural networks; Indexes; Predictive models; Stock markets; Time series analysis; Training; Algorithms; Economics; Forecasting; Neural Networks; Time Series Analysis;
Conference_Titel :
Machine Learning and Applications (ICMLA), 2010 Ninth International Conference on
Conference_Location :
Washington, DC
Print_ISBN :
978-1-4244-9211-4
DOI :
10.1109/ICMLA.2010.151