Title :
Risk analysis of compensating regulation of cascade reservoirs on the main stream of yellow river
Author :
Yang, Wenjuan ; Huang, Qiang ; Lv, Yujie ; Wang, Yimin
Author_Institution :
Key Lab. of Northwest Water Resources & Environ. Ecology of MOE at XAUT, Xi´´an Univ. of Technol., Xi´´an
Abstract :
Based on the risk characters and conception of compensating regulation, the risk identification model was established. Monte-Carlo random simulation model for multifactor risk evaluation was built and applied to the risk analyses of compensating regulation of cascade reservoirs on the main stream of Yellow River in combination with the risk indexes, and 19 integrated compensating regulation schemes in 2010 water level year was evaluated. The results indicate that the risk analysis model for compensating regulation developed in the study is reasonable and feasible.
Keywords :
Monte Carlo methods; environmental management; reservoirs; risk analysis; rivers; China; Monte-Carlo random simulation model; Yellow River; cascade reservoir regulation; compensating regulation; multifactor risk evaluation; risk analysis; risk character; risk identification model; risk index; water level; Analytical models; Biological system modeling; Cause effect analysis; Reservoirs; Risk analysis; Risk management; Rivers; Sediments; Uncertainty; Water resources; Monte-Carlo method; Yellow River; compensating regulation; risk evaluation;
Conference_Titel :
Intelligent Control and Automation, 2008. WCICA 2008. 7th World Congress on
Conference_Location :
Chongqing
Print_ISBN :
978-1-4244-2113-8
Electronic_ISBN :
978-1-4244-2114-5
DOI :
10.1109/WCICA.2008.4592881