The establishment of tourism holiday flow prediction model

In this paper, based on the analysis of tourism holiday information, we put forward and build up the flow prediction model of holiday tourism and establish the theoretical architecture of the model. Then we generalize nonlinearly the flow prediction model of holiday tourism, and predict respectively to the linear and nonlinear flow model through the maximum likelihood method and RBF neural network model. The holiday tourism flow prediction model deeply uncovers the rule of the holiday tourism market and establishes the theoretical basis for the prediction work of tourism holiday market.