Title :
Short-term load forecasting method based on structural neural network
Author_Institution :
Sch. of Electr. Eng., Shenyang Univ. of Technol., Shenyang
Abstract :
Neural network can increase forecasting accuracy of power system load , but canpsilat provide explanation for forecast reason, so this paper proposes a short-period load forecasting method based on structural neural network. The paper respectively set up such models as historical load data forecasting model, weather forecasting model and date type model. First three models are respectively learned and then are combined and learned again. The examples indicate that the method can not only improve forecasting accuracy but also analyze load factors. Therefore the method provides a feasible basis for quantitative study of how various load factors affect load.
Keywords :
load forecasting; neural nets; power engineering computing; date type model; load data forecasting model; power system load; short-period load forecasting method; short-term load forecasting method; structural neural network; weather forecasting model; Economic forecasting; Load forecasting; Load modeling; Neural networks; Power system analysis computing; Power system modeling; Power system reliability; Predictive models; Technology forecasting; Weather forecasting; Accuracy; Influencing factors; Load forecasting; Neural network; Power systems;
Conference_Titel :
Intelligent Control and Automation, 2008. WCICA 2008. 7th World Congress on
Conference_Location :
Chongqing
Print_ISBN :
978-1-4244-2113-8
Electronic_ISBN :
978-1-4244-2114-5
DOI :
10.1109/WCICA.2008.4593637