Title :
Evolutionary heuristic to determine future land use
Author :
Carreno, E.M. ; Padilha-Feltrin, A.
Author_Institution :
Univ. Estadual Paulista (UNESP), Ilha Solteira
Abstract :
In the spatial electric load forecasting, the future land use determination is one of the most important tasks, and one of the most difficult, because of the stochastic nature of the city growth. This paper proposes a fast and efficient algorithm to find out the future land use for the vacant land in the utility service area, using ideas from knowledge extraction and evolutionary algorithms. The methodology was implemented into a full simulation software for spatial electric load forecasting, showing a high rate of success when the results are compared to information gathered from specialists. The importance of this methodology lies in the reduced set of data needed to perform the task and the simplicity for implementation, which is a great plus for most of the electric utilities without specialized tools for this planning activity.
Keywords :
evolutionary computation; knowledge acquisition; load forecasting; power engineering computing; power system planning; evolutionary algorithms; evolutionary heuristic; knowledge extraction; land use; planning activity; spatial electric load forecasting; utility service area; Cities and towns; Data mining; Evolutionary computation; Fuzzy logic; Land use planning; Load forecasting; Power industry; Spatial databases; Stochastic processes; Substations; Spatial electric load forecasting; distribution planning; knowledge extraction; land use;
Conference_Titel :
Power and Energy Society General Meeting - Conversion and Delivery of Electrical Energy in the 21st Century, 2008 IEEE
Conference_Location :
Pittsburgh, PA
Print_ISBN :
978-1-4244-1905-0
Electronic_ISBN :
1932-5517
DOI :
10.1109/PES.2008.4596675