• DocumentCode
    2546255
  • Title

    Expert judgments collecting and modeling: Application to the Integrated Risks Analysis (IRA) methodology

  • Author

    Fallet, G. ; DuVal, Carter ; Simon, Carsten ; Weber, Piotr ; Iung, Benoit

  • Author_Institution
    Risk Manage. Dept., EDF R&D, Clamart, France
  • fYear
    2011
  • fDate
    15-17 June 2011
  • Firstpage
    72
  • Lastpage
    77
  • Abstract
    Assessment of different types of risks is today one of the challenges for an Integrated Risks Analysis (IRA) methodology. Indeed, whereas technical or environmental risks assessments can generally be done by means of statistical way, human and organizational considerations are more taken into account with the use of expert judgments. These considerations lead, from a scientific point of view, to address issues such as how the information provided by the experts can be collected and then modeled. Thus, this paper aims at reviewing different ways needed to express expert knowledge but also different frameworks for representing the information collected. These two items have to support the full development of the IRA methodology.
  • Keywords
    expert systems; risk analysis; environmental risk assessment; expert judgments; expert knowledge; integrated risk analysis; organizational consideration; Analytical models; Bayesian methods; Encoding; Humans; Probabilistic logic; Risk analysis; Uncertainty; expert judgement; risks analysis; uncertainty;
  • fLanguage
    English
  • Publisher
    ieee
  • Conference_Titel
    Dependable Control of Discrete Systems (DCDS), 2011 3rd International Workshop on
  • Conference_Location
    Saarbrucken
  • Print_ISBN
    978-1-4244-8969-5
  • Type

    conf

  • DOI
    10.1109/DCDS.2011.5970321
  • Filename
    5970321