Title :
Electricity Demand Forecasting Based on Threepoint Gaussian Quadrature and Its Application in Smart Grid
Author :
Xiao-jia Wang ; Hai-jiang Wang ; Li-Qiang Hou
Author_Institution :
Sch. of Math., Hefei Univ. of Technol., Hefei, China
Abstract :
The construction of Smart Grid will comprehensively enhance the intelligent level of every step in the power grid of our country. The data forecasting ability determines the quality of smart grid. As a result of this, this paper constructs the background value of grey GM (1, 1) model by using threepoint Gaussian quadrature formula, improves its accuracy and the data quality. It indicates that reconstruction of the background value is the key factor affecting prediction accuracy and applicability.
Keywords :
Gaussian processes; demand forecasting; demand side management; load forecasting; smart power grids; electricity demand forecasting; grey GM (1, 1) model; smart power grid; threepoint Gaussian quadrature; Accuracy; Biological system modeling; Data models; Electricity; Mathematical model; Predictive models; Smart grids;
Conference_Titel :
Wireless Communications Networking and Mobile Computing (WiCOM), 2010 6th International Conference on
Conference_Location :
Chengdu
Print_ISBN :
978-1-4244-3708-5
Electronic_ISBN :
978-1-4244-3709-2
DOI :
10.1109/WICOM.2010.5600887