Strategic analysis of the conflict over Iran´s nuclear program

Formal analytical techniques are employed for better understanding the continuing conflict over Iran´s nuclear program, including predicting various outcomes and recommending how to reduce the intensity of the conflict, or at least prevent its escalation. The Graph Model for Conflict Resolution is used to investigate the strategic interaction of Iran and its opponents. The analysis of our model shows that a military conflict is certainly possible but not the most likely outcome. We conclude with suggestions about how the decision makers could reach a peaceful resolution, demonstrating that the International Atomic Energy Agency should be as actively involved as possible.