Title :
Forecasting nonlinear time series with genetic algorithms genetic algorithms and symbolic form
Author :
Zheng, Sheng ; Xiao-Feng, Zhao
Author_Institution :
Inst. of Meteorol., PLA Univ. of Sci. of Technol., Nanjing, China
Abstract :
A genetic algorithm (GA) programmed to approximate the functional relation, in symbolic form, that describes the behavior of a time series. The GA formalism proposed here utilizes the “postfix” representation with a view to reduce the procedural complexities and the “elitist mating” scheme to produce fitter offspring strings. An initial population of potential solutions is subjected to an evolutionary process described by selection, reproduction and mutation processes which are repeated over generations until an optimum individual is finally found. The GA was proved useful in obtaining functional forms describing accurately the evolution of the nonlinear time series.
Keywords :
forecasting theory; genetic algorithms; nonlinear systems; time series; evolutionary process; fitter offspring string; functional relation; genetic algorithm; mutation processes; nonlinear time series forecasting; potential solution; reproduction processes; symbolic form; Chaos; Equations; Forecasting; Gallium; Genetic algorithms; Mathematical model; Time series analysis; forecasting; genetic algorithm; nonlinear; time series;
Conference_Titel :
Geoscience and Remote Sensing (IITA-GRS), 2010 Second IITA International Conference on
Conference_Location :
Qingdao
Print_ISBN :
978-1-4244-8514-7
DOI :
10.1109/IITA-GRS.2010.5602652