Impact of Wind Generation Uncertainty on Generating Capacity Adequacy

Author

Dimitrovski, Aleksandar ; Tomsovic, Kevin

Author_Institution

Sch. of EECS, Washington State Univ., Pullman, WA

fYear

2006

fDate

11-15 June 2006

Firstpage

1

Lastpage

6

Abstract

This paper addresses the issue of generating capacity adequacy in power systems with considerable share of wind generation. It shows on a hypothetical example derived from the WECC system (western US interconnection) how different percentages of wind penetration affect this adequacy. For this purpose, the popular LOLP-loss of load probability (or more accurately, LOLE-loss of load expectation) is used as an objective, probability based, index. It is compared to reserve margin, another popular, deterministic index. Two systems with the same reserve margin or largest unit reserve can have very different risks of being unable to serve the load. It is shown that this discrepancy exacerbates as wind penetration increases

Keywords

load (electric); losses; probability; wind power plants; LOLE; LOLP; WECC system; deterministic index; loss of load expectation; loss of load probability; probability; reserve margin; western US interconnection; wind generation uncertainty; Capacity planning; Load modeling; Power generation; Power system dynamics; Power system interconnection; Power system modeling; Power system reliability; Uncertainty; Wind energy generation; Wind power generation; LOLP; adequacy; power system planning; reliability; uncertainty; wind generation;

fLanguage

English

Publisher

ieee

Conference_Titel

Probabilistic Methods Applied to Power Systems, 2006. PMAPS 2006. International Conference on

Conference_Location

Stockholm

Print_ISBN

978-91-7178-585-5

Type

conf

DOI

10.1109/PMAPS.2006.360412

Filename

4202375