DocumentCode
2607632
Title
Forecasting electricity consumption by separating the periodic variable and decompositions the pattern
Author
Ghaderi, S.F. ; Azadeh, A. ; Keyno, H. Sadeghi
Author_Institution
Univ. of Tehran, Tehran
fYear
2007
fDate
2-4 Dec. 2007
Firstpage
292
Lastpage
296
Abstract
Electricity consumption pattern has been affected by some socio-economic and environment factors like consumers and environmental fluctuations. Due such parameters electricity consumption pattern will demonstrate various seasonal, monthly, daily and hourly variations. With this type of diversity, it is difficult to find the appropriate model to estimate. In this article it is attempted to decompose the pattern by clustering primary date and eliminating the periodic variance. The complicated pattern is changed to a set of simple patterns which easily could be used in point of view of macro decision making to determine the parameters affected on consumption pattern and forecast detailed executing consumption that is mainly used by middle management and technical engineers. Improved results with descriptive estimation for any part of consumption pattern are concluded in any time intervals.
Keywords
decision making; environmental factors; load forecasting; power consumption; socio-economic effects; consumers fluctuations; electricity consumption forecasting; electricity consumption pattern; environment factors; environmental fluctuations; macro decision making; periodic variance; socio-economic factors; Decision making; Econometrics; Economic forecasting; Energy consumption; Energy management; Environmental economics; Load forecasting; Power engineering and energy; Power generation economics; Weather forecasting; Electricity consumption; forecasting; macro decision; micro decision;
fLanguage
English
Publisher
ieee
Conference_Titel
Industrial Engineering and Engineering Management, 2007 IEEE International Conference on
Conference_Location
Singapore
Print_ISBN
978-1-4244-1529-8
Electronic_ISBN
978-1-4244-1529-8
Type
conf
DOI
10.1109/IEEM.2007.4419198
Filename
4419198
Link To Document