Title :
Study of Carrying Capacity of Water Resources Which Based on System Dynamics Model in Aibi Lake Area of Xinjiang
Author :
Li, Yanhong ; Hu, Huiyun ; Zhao, Shuwang
Author_Institution :
Geographic Sci. & Tourism Fac., Xinjiang Normal Univ., Urumqi, China
Abstract :
This paper uses system dynamics model predicting that water resources could meet the basic use of all professions and trades in Bole city, Jinghe county, wenquan county in the future 30 years which is as 2000 as the base year. However, it has been concerned that Aibi lake which maintain its perennial water 7.12 times 108m3 has not shrunk, the entire region will be water shortage over the next 30 years, it is expected that all professions and trades will be cumulatively water shortage about 9.26 times 108m3 in this region.
Keywords :
environmental management; geophysics computing; lakes; water resources; Aibi lake area; Bole city; China; Jinghe county; Wenquan county; Xinjiang; perennial water; system dynamics model; water resource prediction; water shortage; Agriculture; Cities and towns; Economic forecasting; Electronic mail; Industrial control; Industrial relations; Lakes; Predictive models; Production; Water resources; Aibi Lake Area of Xinjiang; Carrying Capacity of Water Resources; System Dynamics Model;
Conference_Titel :
Information and Computing Science, 2009. ICIC '09. Second International Conference on
Conference_Location :
Manchester
Print_ISBN :
978-0-7695-3634-7
DOI :
10.1109/ICIC.2009.316
