Establishment of decision factors in support of cooperative wide area search and engagement

Wide area search and attack using unmanned combat air vehicles (UCAV) or autonomous munitions is considered. In order to build towards a multi-vehicle cooperative behavior scheme, task benefits for search and engagement need to be established. This paper uses applied probability theory to formulate and solve for the probability of success in search and engagement. Average longevities for the munition and target are also available using this formulation. Both the single target/multiple false target and multiple target/multiple false target scenarios are considered for a single warhead munition/UCAV. Multi-warhead extensions are then introduced.