Title :
Forecast of regional logistics demand based on set pair analysis
Author :
Sun, Ying ; Bao, Xinzhong ; Cui, Meizi
Author_Institution :
Sch. of Econ. & Manage., Univ. of Sci. & Technol., Beijing, China
Abstract :
Many factors may affect the demand of regional logistics. But we could not list all the factors and could not quantitatively analysis the influencing degree of each factor. In traditional forecast methods, many influence factors may be ignored or predigested, which may warp the forecasting result. Set pair clustering analysis may solve the problem of neglecting some influencing factors. In this paper, the historical GDP data of primary, secondary and tertiary industry in North-East China are listed. Based on the increasing rate of GDP data, volume of goods turnover in the coming years is forecasted. The result of empirical study proved that Set pair clustering analysis is reasonable and feasible.
Keywords :
demand forecasting; goods distribution; logistics; pattern clustering; set theory; GDP data; forecast method; goods turnover; north-east China; primary industry; regional logistics demand; secondary industry; set pair clustering analysis; tertiary industry; Analytical models; Biological system modeling; Economic indicators; Forecasting; Industries; Logistics; Predictive models; Logistics demand; Regional logistics; Set pair analysis;
Conference_Titel :
Industrial Electronics and Applications (ICIEA), 2011 6th IEEE Conference on
Conference_Location :
Beijing
Print_ISBN :
978-1-4244-8754-7
Electronic_ISBN :
pending
DOI :
10.1109/ICIEA.2011.5975584