Title :
High order fuzzy time series for exchange rates forecasting
Author :
Abdullah, Lazim ; Taib, Imran
Author_Institution :
Dept. of Math., Univ. Malaysia Terengganu, Kuala Terengganu, Malaysia
Abstract :
Fuzzy time series model has been employed by many researchers in various forecasting activities such as university enrolment, temperature, direct tax collection and the most popular stock price forecasting. However exchange rate forecasting especially using high order fuzzy time series has been given less attention despite its huge contribution in business transactions. The paper aims to test the forecasting of US dollar (USD) against Malaysian Ringgit (MYR) exchange rates using high order fuzzy time series and check its accuracy. Twenty five data set of the exchange rates USD against MYR was tested to the seven-step of high fuzzy time series. The results show that higher order fuzzy time series yield very small errors thereby the model does produce a good forecasting tool for the exchange rates.
Keywords :
foreign exchange trading; fuzzy systems; time series; business transactions; exchange rate forecasting; fuzzy time series; Computational modeling; Exchange rates; Forecasting; Fuzzy sets; Pragmatics; Predictive models; Time series analysis; exchange rate; forecasting; fuzzy set; square error; time series;
Conference_Titel :
Data Mining and Optimization (DMO), 2011 3rd Conference on
Conference_Location :
Putrajaya
Print_ISBN :
978-1-61284-211-0
Electronic_ISBN :
2155-6938
DOI :
10.1109/DMO.2011.5976496