Assessment model for failure probability of LanChengYu product oil pipeline under landslide geological disaster

The geological disaster often loses pipeline security to finished oil having bigger effect, from the geology angle studying the effect to the pipeline duty such as landslide, mud-rock flow (geology disaster) being unlike area, and then being that the pipeline is safe work and manage provide scientific basis. The article has analyzed the form and cause and disaster occurrence serious consequences that the pipeline is affected in LanChengYu by geology, has laid stress on the significance that and safety giving a test to dangerous geology disaster section of an area appraise. And put particular emphasis on the building-up having chosen the landslide geology disaster carrying out safety appraising a model´s. By the fact that the disaster loses efficacy to pipeline landslide geology, the probability having affected factor (if slope, soil stability and the artificial satellite supervisory control going steadily downhill wait a minute) analysis, and then having built up becoming invalid applying to LanChengYu pipeline risk valuation appraises a model. 1 # goes steadily downhill finally with being probability model´s turn to become the LanChengYu pipeline being in progress applying, and 1 # landslide body stability analyses such that result carries out comparative analysis, to verify the model correctness.