Title :
Risk-Constrained Multi-Stage Wind Power Investment
Author :
Baringo, Luis ; Conejo, Antonio J.
Author_Institution :
Univ. Castilla-La Mancha, Ciudad Real, Spain
Abstract :
When deciding on wind power investments, three major issues arise: the production variability and uncertainty of wind facilities, the eventual future decline in wind power investment costs, and the significant financial risk involved in such investment decisions. Recognizing the above important issues, this paper proposes a risk-constrained multi-stage stochastic programming model to make optimal investment decisions on wind power facilities along a multi-stage horizon. The proposed model is illustrated using a clarifying example and a case study.
Keywords :
investment; risk management; stochastic programming; wind power; eventual future decline; financial risk; multistage horizon; multistage wind power investment; optimal investment decisions; production variability; risk-constrained wind power investment; stochastic programming; wind facility uncertainty; wind power investment costs; Investments; Load modeling; Planning; Production; Stochastic processes; Uncertainty; Wind power generation; Mathematical program with equilibrium constraints (MPEC); risk management; stochastic programming; wind power investment;
Journal_Title :
Power Systems, IEEE Transactions on
DOI :
10.1109/TPWRS.2012.2205411