Title :
Implementing a quantitative-based methodology for project risk assessment DSS
Author :
Jianyi, Guo ; Li, Zhang ; Xusheng, Liu ; Yuejuan, Huang ; Zhengtao, Yu
Author_Institution :
Dept. of Inf. Eng. & Autom., Kunming Univ. of Sci. & Technol., Kunming
Abstract :
Project risk assessment is a critical activity adopted in project risk management process to prevent risks and to enhance the success rate of projects. But so far it is a big challenge for project managers and experts to combine their expertise with intelligent technology to evaluate project risks due to insufficient risk related data. Based on this, a novel attempt to integrate analytic hierarchy process (AHP) and support vector regression (SVR) is proposed to build the assessment decision model. A prototype system called project risk assessment decision support system (PRADSS) which consists of risk index system, AHP evaluation model, intelligent evaluation system, knowledge base and man-machine interaction is brought forward to reduce negative risk factors and assist in decision making. Software project risk assessment is conducted to show the efficiency and feasibility of the prototype system.
Keywords :
decision making; decision support systems; production engineering computing; project management; regression analysis; risk management; support vector machines; analytic hierarchy process; assessment decision model; intelligent evaluation system; intelligent technology; knowledge base; man-machine interaction; project risk assessment decision support system; quantitative-based methodology; risk index system; support vector regression; Automation; Decision making; Decision support systems; Electronic mail; Humans; Project management; Risk analysis; Risk management; Software prototyping; Software quality; Decision support system; Project risk assessment; Quantitative prediction; Support vector regression;
Conference_Titel :
Control Conference, 2008. CCC 2008. 27th Chinese
Conference_Location :
Kunming
Print_ISBN :
978-7-900719-70-6
Electronic_ISBN :
978-7-900719-70-6
DOI :
10.1109/CHICC.2008.4605452