Title :
Time series predication based on genetic chaotic operators network
Author :
Ting-ting, Yu ; Chun-bo, Xiu ; Yu-xia, Liu
Author_Institution :
Key Lab. of Adv. Electr. Eng. & Energy Technol., Tianjin Polytech. Univ., Tianjin, China
Abstract :
Scientifically prediction of some statistical data in practical production can guide mission planning and scheduling, policy-making and emergency treatment. A new dynamic prediction network is proposed to improve the prediction performance of conventional method. The prediction network is composed of many chaotic operators, and its control parameters are optimized by genetic algorithm. The dynamic characteristic of the network can be changed to follow that of the system predicted. The prediction results of actual data, such as passenger traffic, freight traffic, goods volume, and passenger volume, show that the method is valid, and it has good predictive ability and precision.
Keywords :
decision making; genetic algorithms; prediction theory; scheduling; statistical analysis; time series; control parameters; dynamic characteristics; dynamic prediction network; emergency treatment; genetic algorithm; genetic chaotic operator network; mission planning; policy making; predictive ability; statistical data; time series prediction; Chaos; Genetic algorithms; Heuristic algorithms; Neural networks; Predictive models; Time series analysis; Training; Chaos; Genetic algorithm; Predication; Time series;
Conference_Titel :
Control and Decision Conference (CCDC), 2012 24th Chinese
Conference_Location :
Taiyuan
Print_ISBN :
978-1-4577-2073-4
DOI :
10.1109/CCDC.2012.6244178