Wind power variability model Part III - Validation of the model

In this article, the model described in the first part of the series is applied to a system with three wind farms. The model is adjusted from one year data and some measures of the goodness of the fit are shown. In particular, the exponential distribution of the permanence time in states is contrasted with real data. The uncertainty of the transition probabilities and the estimation of uncommon events are also studied. Some theoretical properties obtained from the model are also checked with experimental data.