Title :
Using two-stage genetic algorithms to solve the nonlinear time series models for ten-day streamflow forecasting
Author :
Liu, Chin-Hui ; Chen, Chang-Shian
Author_Institution :
Feng Chia Univ., Taichung
Abstract :
Streamflow forecasting is of utmost importance for the management of water resources. A higher accuracy in flow prediction can lead to a more effective and comprehensive application of water resources. The characteristics of hydrological data can be classified as non-steady and nonlinear. This study used two-stage genetic algorithms to solve complex nonlinear time series models. Ten-day streamflows of the Wu-shi river in Taiwan were taken as an example. Compared with the traditional linear time series, the analysis verified that nonlinear time series models by two-stage genetic algorithms are superior.
Keywords :
forecasting theory; genetic algorithms; nonlinear control systems; time series; water resources; Wu-shi river; flow prediction; hydrological data; nonlinear time series models; ten-day streamflow forecasting; two-stage genetic algorithms; water resources management; Evolutionary computation; Genetic algorithms; Predictive models;
Conference_Titel :
Evolutionary Computation, 2007. CEC 2007. IEEE Congress on
Conference_Location :
Singapore
Print_ISBN :
978-1-4244-1339-3
Electronic_ISBN :
978-1-4244-1340-9
DOI :
10.1109/CEC.2007.4425041