DocumentCode
2702254
Title
Equipment spare parts demand forecasting model based on grey neural network
Author
Song, Hui ; Zhang, Cheng ; Liu, Guangyu ; Zhao, Wukui
Author_Institution
6th Dept., Shijiazhuang Mech. Eng. Coll., Shijiazhuang, China
fYear
2012
fDate
15-18 June 2012
Firstpage
1274
Lastpage
1277
Abstract
Equipment spare parts demand forecasting is the precondition of conducting effective spare parts supporting. Equipment spare parts demand change is the result of comprehensive factors and single model forecasting accuracy is not high. Aim to improve the precision of equipment spare parts demand forecasting, a forecasting method of equipment spare parts demand is proposed using grey neural network based on analyzing the main factors influencing spare parts wastage synthetically. The proposed method uses the grey forecasting model to train the training samples and gets the BP neural network input value, then BP neural network is used to get the equipment spare parts demand results. Simulation results demonstrate that the proposed method has higher forecasting precision compared with single forecasting model, which verifies the correctness and efficiency of the proposed method.
Keywords
backpropagation; demand forecasting; forecasting theory; maintenance engineering; neural nets; training; BP neural network input value; equipment spare parts demand change; equipment spare parts demand forecasting model; forecasting precision; grey forecasting model; grey neural network; single model forecasting accuracy; spare parts wastage; training samples; Data models; Demand forecasting; Mathematical model; Missiles; Neural networks; Predictive models; demand forecasting; gray neural network; spare parts demand;
fLanguage
English
Publisher
ieee
Conference_Titel
Quality, Reliability, Risk, Maintenance, and Safety Engineering (ICQR2MSE), 2012 International Conference on
Conference_Location
Chengdu
Print_ISBN
978-1-4673-0786-4
Type
conf
DOI
10.1109/ICQR2MSE.2012.6246453
Filename
6246453
Link To Document