Prediction of electricity demand due to PHEVs(Plug-In Hybrid Electric Vehicles) distribution in Korea by using diffusion model

Author

Won, Jong-Ryul ; Yoon, Yong-beum ; Lee, Kyung-Jin

Author_Institution

Anyang Univ., Anyang, South Korea

fYear

2009

fDate

26-30 Oct. 2009

Firstpage

1

Lastpage

4

Abstract

Electric vehicles are now drastically distributed among U.S.A, Japan and European Countries. Especially hybrid cars are main target of electric vehicle. Now the cars which can charge electricity from outer AC grid(110V/220V/380V) were made and they are called PHEV (plug-in hybrid electric vehicle). In 2012 PHEV will be produced in Korea. In this time it is very important that we predict its future distribution volume. However until now it is not analyzed by any technical model. In this paper we propose its electricity demand future prediction by using Bass´ diffusion formula referencing U.S. sales data.

Keywords

hybrid electric vehicles; load forecasting; Bass diffusion formula; Korea; PHEV distribution; electricity demand future prediction; plug-in hybrid electric vehicles; voltage 110 V; voltage 220 V; voltage 380 V; Asia; Hybrid electric vehicles; Predictive models; Bass´ diffusion formula; PHEV (Plug-In Hybrid Electric Vehicle);

fLanguage

English

Publisher

ieee

Conference_Titel

Transmission & Distribution Conference & Exposition: Asia and Pacific, 2009

Conference_Location

Seoul

Print_ISBN

978-1-4244-5230-9

Electronic_ISBN

978-1-4244-5230-9

Type

conf

DOI

10.1109/TD-ASIA.2009.5356888

Filename

5356888