Title :
Data Clustering and Fuzzy Neural Network for Sales Forecasting in Printed Circuit Board Industry
Author :
Chang, Pei-Chann ; Liu, Chen-Hao ; Fan, Chin-Yuan ; Chang, Hsiao-Ching
Author_Institution :
Dept. of Inf. Manage., Yuan-Ze Univ., Taoyuan
fDate :
March 1 2007-April 5 2007
Abstract :
Reliable prediction of sales can improve the quality of business strategy. This research develops a hybrid model by integrating K-mean cluster and fuzzy back propagation network (KFBPN) to forecast the future sales of a printed circuit board factory. Based on the K-mean clustering technique, the historic data can be classified into different clusters, thus the noise of the original data can be reduced and a more homogeneous region can be established for a more accurate prediction. Numerical data of various affecting factors and actual demand of the past 5 years of the printed circuit board (PCB) factory are collected and input into the hybrid model for future monthly sales forecasting. Experimental results show the effectiveness of the hybrid model when compared with other approaches
Keywords :
backpropagation; forecasting theory; fuzzy neural nets; manufacturing data processing; pattern clustering; printed circuit manufacture; sales management; K-mean cluster; data clustering; fuzzy back propagation network; fuzzy neural network; printed circuit board industry; sales forecasting; sales prediction; Artificial intelligence; Artificial neural networks; Demand forecasting; Economic forecasting; Fuzzy neural networks; Information management; Marketing and sales; Predictive models; Printed circuits; Production facilities;
Conference_Titel :
Computational Intelligence and Data Mining, 2007. CIDM 2007. IEEE Symposium on
Conference_Location :
Honolulu, HI
Print_ISBN :
1-4244-0705-2
DOI :
10.1109/CIDM.2007.368860