Title :
Short-term prediction of a nonrecurrent road traffic using multifractal tools
Author :
Vojak, Robert ; Danech-Pajouh, Mehdi
Abstract :
We present a first approach for short-term forecasting of traffic flow data using multifractal analysis. The acquisition time is assumed very small (1 minute in our case), which yields highly irregular data well suited to multifractal analysis. We perform predictions with different horizons (from 1 minute to 15 minutes) and come up with satisfactory results. We then present a possible improvement to this approach based on multinomial measures and results on multifractal correlations
Keywords :
fractals; road traffic; traffic control; multifractal correlations; multifractal tools; multinomial measures; nonrecurrent road traffic; short-term forecasting; short-term prediction; traffic flow data; Data acquisition; Data analysis; Delay effects; Fluid flow measurement; Fractals; Frequency; Geometry; Predictive models; Roads; Traffic control;
Conference_Titel :
Vehicle Navigation and Information Systems Conference, 1995. Proceedings. In conjunction with the Pacific Rim TransTech Conference. 6th International VNIS. 'A Ride into the Future'
Conference_Location :
Seattle, WA
Print_ISBN :
0-7803-2587-7
DOI :
10.1109/VNIS.1995.518846