Title :
Statistical design and analysis of a test programme to assess the volatility characteristics of ethanol/gasoline blends
Author :
Zemroch, P.J. ; Davenport, C. ; Evans, M. ; Stradling, R. ; Rose, K. ; Engelen, B. ; McArragher, S.
Author_Institution :
Shell Global Solutions UK, Chester, UK
Abstract :
Designing a measurement programme to assess the volatility characteristics of ethanol/gasoline blends posed challenges as the seven base fuel properties of interest were highly constrained and difficult to manipulate independently of one another. The target base fuel matrix was generated by augmenting a 49-fuel fraction of a 75 factorial with 11 additional fuels chosen using D-optimality. Two of the five factors were treated as pseudo-factors and used to generate the levels of two pairs of mutually constrained properties. The 60 base fuels were then blended and subsequently splash blended with 5%, 10%, 15%, 20% & 25% ethanol. The test order for the resulting 360 fuels was structured and randomized to reduce the risk of extraneous sources of variation contaminating the regression models subsequently fitted to the data. Cross-concentration models had to be fitted by generalized least squares techniques as the measured values of the principal dependent variable were structurally correlated.
Keywords :
blending; design of experiments; least squares approximations; liquid mixtures; matrix algebra; organic compounds; petroleum; random processes; regression analysis; D-optimality; cross-concentration models; extraneous source risk reduction; fuel fraction augmentation; generalized least squares techniques; measurement test programme design; mutually constrained properties; principal dependent variable; pseudofactors; regression models; splash blended ethanol-gasoline; statistical analysis; statistical design; structurally correlated principal dependent variable; structured randomized fuels; target base fuel matrix; test programme; volatility characteristics; Correlation; Data models; Ethanol; Europe; Petroleum; Pollution measurement; D-optimality; E70; blending; distillation; ethanol; experimental design; fractional replicate; gasoline; generalized least squares; volatility;
Conference_Titel :
Statistics in Science, Business, and Engineering (ICSSBE), 2012 International Conference on
Conference_Location :
Langkawi
Print_ISBN :
978-1-4673-1581-4
DOI :
10.1109/ICSSBE.2012.6396542