Title :
Traders´ Behavioral Propensities and Stock Market Dynamic Regimes in a Stochastic Multi-agent Model
Author :
Yu, Tongkui ; Li, Honggang
Author_Institution :
Dept. of Syst. Sci., Beijing Normal Univ., Beijing, China
Abstract :
We present a multi-agent stock market model with different dynamic regimes including fundamental equilibrium, non-fundamental equilibrium, periodicity and chaos. The influence of traders´ behavioral propensities such as mimetic propensity, price-chasing propensity and strategy-switching propensity to market dynamic regime is investigated by both analytical and numerical methods. The mimetic and price-chasing propensities play a more important role in determining market regimes, while the strategy-switching propensity determines the price deviation distance from fundamental value if the deviation exists.
Keywords :
chaos; nonlinear systems; stochastic processes; stock markets; behavioral propensities; chaos; mimetic propensity; multiagent stock market model; nonfundamental equilibrium; periodicity; price chasing propensity; price deviation distance; stochastic multiagent model; stock market dynamic regimes; strategy switching propensity; Chaos; Computer crashes; Economic forecasting; Finance; Frequency measurement; Physics; Stochastic processes; Stochastic systems; Stock markets; Switches; behavioral propensities; dynamic regimes; multi-agent stock market model;
Conference_Titel :
Information and Financial Engineering, 2009. ICIFE 2009. International Conference on
Conference_Location :
Singapore
Print_ISBN :
978-0-7695-3606-4
DOI :
10.1109/ICIFE.2009.29