DocumentCode
2763736
Title
Prediction of the Number of International Tourists in China Based on Gray Model (1,1)
Author
Lingbin, Yang ; Xia, Zhang ; Jin, Wu
Author_Institution
Coll. of Urban & Environ. Sci., Northeast Normal Univ., Changchun, China
fYear
2009
fDate
6-7 June 2009
Firstpage
357
Lastpage
360
Abstract
A gray model for international tourists prediction in China is established based on gray system theory and related data since 1978. Tested by posterior check and Small probability, the model is proved qualified to predict the number of international tourists with high elevation fitting precision. Gray system theory is a powerful tool to study tourist phenomena, because tourism system is belonging to gray system. This paper will be a useful reference to the study on tourism sequence prediction.
Keywords
grey systems; probability; travel industry; China; gray model; gray system theory; international tourist prediction; posterior check; probability; Content management; Control systems; Educational institutions; Electronic commerce; Humans; Power system modeling; Power system planning; Predictive models; Testing; Uncertainty; Gray Model; Gray System; tourists prediction;
fLanguage
English
Publisher
ieee
Conference_Titel
Electronic Commerce and Business Intelligence, 2009. ECBI 2009. International Conference on
Conference_Location
Beijing
Print_ISBN
978-0-7695-3661-3
Type
conf
DOI
10.1109/ECBI.2009.34
Filename
5190473
Link To Document