Title :
Traffic prediction using FARIMA models
Author :
Shu, Yantai ; Jin, Zhigang ; Zhang, Lianfang ; Wang, Lei ; Yang, Oliver W W
Author_Institution :
Dept. of Comput. Sci., Tianjin Univ., China
Abstract :
Previous traffic measurements have found the coexistence of both long-range and short-range dependence in network traffic. Therefore, models are required to predict traffic that has both long-range and short-range dependence. This paper provides a procedure to model and predict traffic using FARIMA (p,d,q) models. Our experiments illustrate that the FARIMA model is a good model and is capable of capturing the property of actual traffic. We provide guidelines to simplify the FARIMA model fitting procedure and thus to reduce the time of traffic modeling and prediction
Keywords :
telecommunication traffic; FARIMA models; long-range dependence; network traffic; short-range dependence; traffic prediction; Communication system traffic control; Computer network management; Computer science; Gaussian noise; Guidelines; High-speed networks; Information technology; Predictive models; Telecommunication traffic; Traffic control;
Conference_Titel :
Communications, 1999. ICC '99. 1999 IEEE International Conference on
Conference_Location :
Vancouver, BC
Print_ISBN :
0-7803-5284-X
DOI :
10.1109/ICC.1999.765402