Title :
A Disaggregate Model of Traffic Mode Split Forecast for Public Events
Author :
Xu Liang-jie ; Wang Bo ; Zhang Wen-bin
Author_Institution :
Sch. of Transp., Wuhan Univ. of Technol., Wuhan, China
Abstract :
In order to analyze the effect of typical public events on the urban traffic behaviors, this paper firstly studied the factors of traffic mode choice and their interaction at macroscopic and microcosmic angles. Then according to the traffic characteristic and scope of public events, a disaggregate model of traffic mode choice was set up. Finally, the model was applied in the case of split ratio forecast for traffic mode in inauguration of the 6th urban sports meeting, which was held in Wuhan in 2007. Researches indicated that the forecasting result conformed to the actual transportation demand.
Keywords :
forecasting theory; traffic; disaggregate model; macroscopic angle; microcosmic angle; public events; traffic characteristic; traffic mode choice; traffic mode split forecast; transportation demand; urban sports meeting; urban traffic behaviors; Assembly systems; Cities and towns; Costs; Demand forecasting; Electronic mail; Predictive models; Road transportation; Technology forecasting; Traffic control; Vehicles;
Conference_Titel :
Computational Intelligence and Software Engineering, 2009. CiSE 2009. International Conference on
Conference_Location :
Wuhan
Print_ISBN :
978-1-4244-4507-3
Electronic_ISBN :
978-1-4244-4507-3
DOI :
10.1109/CISE.2009.5363132
