A Disaggregate Model of Traffic Mode Split Forecast for Public Events

Author

Xu Liang-jie ; Wang Bo ; Zhang Wen-bin

Author_Institution

Sch. of Transp., Wuhan Univ. of Technol., Wuhan, China

fYear

2009

fDate

11-13 Dec. 2009

Firstpage

1

Lastpage

4

Abstract

In order to analyze the effect of typical public events on the urban traffic behaviors, this paper firstly studied the factors of traffic mode choice and their interaction at macroscopic and microcosmic angles. Then according to the traffic characteristic and scope of public events, a disaggregate model of traffic mode choice was set up. Finally, the model was applied in the case of split ratio forecast for traffic mode in inauguration of the 6th urban sports meeting, which was held in Wuhan in 2007. Researches indicated that the forecasting result conformed to the actual transportation demand.

Keywords

forecasting theory; traffic; disaggregate model; macroscopic angle; microcosmic angle; public events; traffic characteristic; traffic mode choice; traffic mode split forecast; transportation demand; urban sports meeting; urban traffic behaviors; Assembly systems; Cities and towns; Costs; Demand forecasting; Electronic mail; Predictive models; Road transportation; Technology forecasting; Traffic control; Vehicles;

fLanguage

English

Publisher

ieee

Conference_Titel

Computational Intelligence and Software Engineering, 2009. CiSE 2009. International Conference on

Conference_Location

Wuhan

Print_ISBN

978-1-4244-4507-3

Electronic_ISBN

978-1-4244-4507-3

Type

conf

DOI

10.1109/CISE.2009.5363132

Filename

5363132