Title :
Analysis and Prediction of China´s Energy Consumption Based on LMDI Method
Author :
Mu, Hailin ; Zhang, Ming ; Ning, Yadong
Author_Institution :
Key Lab. of Ocean Energy Utilization & Energy Conservation of Minist. of Educ., Dalian Univ. of Technol., Dalian, China
Abstract :
China is now experiencing rapid development and has become the second largest energy consumer. China has presented the objectives of building a well off society in an all round way at the 16th National Congress of the Communist Party of China in 2002. Without question, the future society, with higher level of modernization and standard of living, will consume more energy. In this paper, the LMDI (Log-Mean Divisia Index) method is used to analyze the nature of the factors that influence energy consumption during the period 1980-2006. Another contribution of this paper is to develop a forecasting model (LMDIED) based on the LMDI method, in which the effects from each factor can be displayed.
Keywords :
energy consumption; socio-economic effects; China; LMDI method; energy consumption; log mean divisia index method; Economic forecasting; Economic indicators; Educational technology; Energy conservation; Energy consumption; Marine technology; Oceans; Optimization methods; Power generation economics; Predictive models;
Conference_Titel :
Computational Sciences and Optimization, 2009. CSO 2009. International Joint Conference on
Conference_Location :
Sanya, Hainan
Print_ISBN :
978-0-7695-3605-7
DOI :
10.1109/CSO.2009.135
