• DocumentCode
    2824179
  • Title

    Wind speed prediction based on Grey Markov model

  • Author

    Wu, Dan ; Tan, Lunnong

  • Author_Institution
    Sch. of Electron. Inf. Eng., Jiangsu Univ., Zhenjiang, China
  • fYear
    2011
  • fDate
    15-17 July 2011
  • Firstpage
    7092
  • Lastpage
    7095
  • Abstract
    In order to improve the accuracy of wind speed prediction, a model that Grey model combine with Markov model is given. Based on the time-ordered and stochastic volatility of the wind speed sequence, using the modeling method of Gray prediction and the characteristics of Markov model which can forecast the stochastic and volatile data, the Grey Markov model for wind speed forecasting is established. The method uses MATLAB to model the Gray model, and the Markov model is used to correct the predictive value of Gray prediction, finally can get the result of prediction. Through the wind speed prediction of a wind farm, the results show that Grey Markov forecasting has high accuracy and it can preferably predict wind speed.
  • Keywords
    Markov processes; atmospheric techniques; wind; Gray model; Gray prediction; Grey Markov forecasting; Grey Markov model; MATLAB; stochastic data; stochastic volatility; time-ordered volatility; volatile data; wind speed prediction; wind speed sequence; Data models; Forecasting; Markov processes; Mathematical model; Predictive models; Wind forecasting; Wind speed; Markov mode; gray model; wind speed prediction;
  • fLanguage
    English
  • Publisher
    ieee
  • Conference_Titel
    Mechanic Automation and Control Engineering (MACE), 2011 Second International Conference on
  • Conference_Location
    Hohhot
  • Print_ISBN
    978-1-4244-9436-1
  • Type

    conf

  • DOI
    10.1109/MACE.2011.5988684
  • Filename
    5988684